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Not So Fast, Mr. Garrett

Scott Garrett gave an interview to National Journal Daily which yesterday he had posted on his Congressional website.  The subject of the article was Congressman Garrett’s desire to place reforming GSE’s at the top of the House Republican’s agenda.  For those of you unfamiliar with the term, GSE stands for Government Sponsored Enterprise.  In this case he’s referring to the need to reform Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the two entities with the dual responsibility of providing liquidity to the secondary housing market and also provide assistance for lower-income Americans to realize the dream of home ownership.

As you’re probably aware, two years ago, the Federal government assumed control of the ailing Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac).  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were profitable in most years until the “Great Recession.”  As housing prices dropped nationwide and foreclosures increased, the two GSE’s suffered large losses on various investments in their portfolios and the government had to step in to provide confidence to the market.  Ultimately, we the tax payers are bailing out these two financial giants.

So reform is needed and welcomed.  Scott Garrett says he wants to make sure we taxpayers aren’t subject to any potential future bailouts and I completely endorse the concept.  However, Mr. Garrett does not want to reform the system he wants to completely privatize it.  I know this because Mr. Garrett is a cosponsor of Jeb Hensarling’s legislation which if enacted would do just that.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analyzed three broad alternatives for structuring the secondary mortgage market:

  • Adopting a hybrid public/private approach that would involve explicit federal guarantees of some privately issued mortgage-backed securities;
  • Establishing a fully federal agency that would purchase and guarantee qualifying mortgages; or
  • Promoting a fully private secondary market with no federal guarantees.
All three concepts have their pluses and minuses but it’s no surprise that Scott Garrett is drawn toward creating a fully private secondary market.
I’ve read the CBO report and there are no easy answers.  As CBO pointed out:
… the liquidity of the private secondary market might dry up during periods of acute financial stress. Moreover, privatization might not significantly reduce taxpayers’ overall exposure to risk if it shifted credit risk on mortgages to banks that were covered by federal deposit insurance and if that additional risk was not recognized in regulators’ actions and in the fees charged for deposit insurance.
Fannie and Freddie screwed up and the Federal government allowed them to do it.  In the days before the financial crisis these GSE’s were not closely monitored.  They often provided liquidity to the secondary mortgage market by purchasing the same ticketing time bombs of sub-prime mortgages that triggered the housing crisis in the first place.  As I mentioned earlier, Fannie and Freddie don’t just provide liquidity to the market, they also provide assistance to lower-income buyers to help them make the dream of home ownership a reality.  So we have a systemic problem that must be corrected.   Privatizing doesn’t fix the existing problems, it just creates new ones.
The CBO study concludes with an important final thought:
Nevertheless, all developed countries with high rates of home ownership depend on some degree of government support to maintain the flow of credit to the mortgage market during periods of financial stress.
Remember, if we had done what Mr. Garrett and Mr. Romney wanted and relied upon private equity firms to provide the bridge-loans for America’s automobile manufacturers, our auto industry would have disappeared.   Private equity firms weren’t interested in providing the loans three years ago so the Federal government stepped up because it was in our national interest to have a domestic automobile industry.  I submit the same holds true for the housing industry.   There is a necessary role here for the Federal government.
Mr. Garrett, read the CBO study.   This not a simple problem and there is no simple solution.   It is ridiculous to suppose otherwise.

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